The Opportunty Cost of deficient national educational & training provisions The CESS-Cigány Economy Simulation System is an econometric model based upon a SPF-Structural Production Function. It calculates the opportunity cost of the inadequate provisions of primary & secondary education and vocational training in Hungary. What this part of the model will calculate and show:  This part of the model generates a series showing the evolution in the non-Roma and Roma (Cigány) population components of the country over the period 1985 to 2025. This 40 year series is a 20 years forward projection and 20 years historic. The results are presented in 2 tables, (1) for 1985 through 2005 and, (2) for 2005 through 2025. The series also provides a GNP deficit estimate for each year based upon relative earning capacities, employment rates and a base-line GNP/capita. Relative population growth rates:  The Roma population growth rate (the difference between birth rate and death rate) during 1984-2006 was a steady 2% p.a. The system is set to run using this growth rate but the user can select other rates if desired. The non-Roma population size in Hungary is declining at an unstable rate of around - 0.65% p.a. for the time being the simulator runs using this figure. Earning capacity:  The Roma earning capacity has a large regional variation of between 25%-50% and is directly related to educational deprivation and lack of technical training as well as discrimination. The model runs using an earning capacity of 35% but the user can alter this. Employment rate:  The Cigány employment rate has a regional variation of between 0%-80%. This rate is also determined by educational deprivation and lack of technical training as well as to discrimination. The model runs using an employment rate of 60% but the user can change this figure. Per capita income:  The average per capita GNP used in this model is Euro 10,000 p.a. but the user can select any other level as a datum line for calculating GNP decifits. Please click OK to continue.